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PUBLICATION

This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.

The seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania should be used with caution. The small numbers and volatile nature of these data in recent months make reliable estimation of the seasonal pattern very difficult. The seasonally adjusted figures for Australia and other states/territories remain unaffected. For further information, see paragraphs 6 to 8 of the Explanatory Notes.


NOVEMBER 2004 KEY POINTS

Trend

The trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles increased 0.6% to 82,253 in November 2004. When compared with November 2003 (77,701) the trend estimate has shown an increase of 5.9%.

Sales of passenger vehicles recorded an increase of 0.9% over the last month while sales of sports utility vehicles increased 0.2% and other vehicles increased 0.3%. The trend estimate for sales of sports utility vehicles has been increasing continually since September 2003, recording a total increase of 20.4% since this time.

All states and territories recorded increases in the trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles in November 2004 with the exception of Queensland which recorded a decrease of 0.5%.


Seasonally adjusted

The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of new motor vehicles decreased 3.1% to 81,234 in November 2004. Passenger vehicle sales decreased 2.9%, sales of sports utility vehicles decreased 2.2% and sales of other new vehicles decreased 4.9% in November 2004 compared to October 2004.

Western Australia was the only state or territory to record an increase (up 2.1%) in the seasonally adjusted estimate for the sales of new motor vehicles.


NOTES


TREND REVISIONS

Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information, see Explanatory Notes 9 and 10.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales

		Passenger vehicles (No.)	Sports utility vehicles (No.)	Other vehicles (No.)	Total vehicles (No.)	Change passenger vehicles (%)	Change sports utility vehicles (%)	Change other vehicles (%)	Change total vehicles (%)
Original
2003	September	51,749	11,590	14,452	77,791	3.8	-4.9	2.3	2.1
	October	52,180	12,318	14,727	79,225	0.8	6.3	1.9	1.8
	November	48,482	12,892	14,738	76,112	-7.1	4.7	0.1	-3.9
	December	49,834	13,296	14,656	77,786	2.8	3.1	-0.6	2.2
2004	January	40,715	12,291	11,791	64,797	-18.3	-7.6	-19.5	-16.7
	February	47,876	12,865	15,136	75,877	17.6	4.7	28.4	17.1
	March	53,728	15,005	17,313	86,046	12.2	16.6	14.4	13.4
	April	44,079	12,351	14,875	71,305	-18.0	-17.7	-14.1	-17.1
	May	46,168	15,052	17,059	78,279	4.7	21.9	14.7	9.8
	June	58,284	17,981	20,947	97,212	26.2	19.5	22.8	24.2
	July	46,724	14,442	15,869	77,035	-19.8	-19.7	-24.2	-20.8
	August	48,649	14,910	15,685	79,244	4.1	3.2	-1.2	2.9
	September	49,911	14,715	15,826	80,452	2.6	-1.3	0.9	1.5
	October	52,290	13,907	15,470	81,667	4.8	-5.5	-2.2	1.5
	November	52,888	15,257	16,190	84,335	1.1	9.7	4.7	3.3
Seasonally Adjusted
2003	September	52,417	12,627	14,979	80,023	2.3	-0.8	2.8	1.9
	October	48,939	12,601	14,967	76,507	-6.6	-0.2	-0.1	-4.4
	November	48,567	13,174	15,009	76,750	-0.8	4.5	0.3	0.3
	December	46,155	13,117	14,938	74,210	-5.0	-0.4	-0.5	-3.3
2004	January	49,561	13,961	15,669	79,191	7.4	6.4	4.9	6.7
	February	50,304	13,323	15,976	79,603	1.5	-4.6	2.0	0.5
	March	49,183	13,509	16,383	79,075	-2.2	1.4	2.5	-0.7
	April	48,235	13,278	15,890	77,403	-1.9	-1.7	-3.0	-2.1
	May	48,141	14,571	16,165	78,877	-0.2	9.7	1.7	1.9
	June	49,861	14,577	15,408	79,846	3.6	0.0	-4.7	1.2
	July	47,362	14,680	15,984	78,026	-5.0	0.7	3.7	-2.3
	August	48,392	15,042	15,831	79,265	2.2	2.5	-1.0	1.6
	September	50,140	15,213	16,144	81,497	3.6	1.1	2.0	2.8
	October	51,787	15,461	16,620	83,868	3.3	1.6	2.9	2.9
	November	50,299	15,128	15,807	81,234	-2.9	-2.2	-4.9	-3.1
Trend
2003	September	50,786	12,738	14,839	78,363	-0.7	0.1	0.9	-0.3
	October	50,202	12,842	14,959	78,003	-1.1	0.8	0.8	-0.5
	November	49,579	13,010	15,112	77,701	-1.2	1.3	1.0	-0.4
	December	49,062	13,187	15,335	77,584	-1.0	1.4	1.5	-0.2
2004	January	48,791	13,349	15,600	77,740	-0.6	1.2	1.7	0.2
	February	48,775	13,495	15,838	78,108	0.0	1.1	1.5	0.5
	March	48,851	13,656	15,981	78,488	0.2	1.2	0.9	0.5
	April	48,802	13,861	16,008	78,671	-0.1	1.5	0.2	0.2
	May	48,631	14,135	15,967	78,733	-0.4	2.0	-0.3	0.1
	June	48,532	14,459	15,914	78,905	-0.2	2.3	-0.3	0.2
	July	48,739	14,762	15,914	79,415	0.4	2.1	0.0	0.6
	August	49,220	14,999	15,977	80,196	1.0	1.6	0.4	1.0
	September	49,764	15,168	16,058	80,990	1.1	1.1	0.5	1.0
	October	50,296	15,296	16,130	81,722	1.1	0.8	0.4	0.9
	November	50,746	15,334	16,173	82,253	0.9	0.2	0.3	0.6

		NSW	Vic.	Qld	SA	WA	TAS.(a)	NT	ACT	Aust.
		(No.)	(No.)	(No.)	(No.)	(No.)	(No.)	(No.)	(No.)	(No.)
Original
2003	September	25738	21200	15293	5222	6894	1639	593	1212	77791
	October	25533	21337	15521	5430	7487	2008	607	1302	79225
	November	25099	20254	15058	5214	6925	1717	630	1215	76112
	December	25113	21071	15265	5404	7161	1860	593	1319	77786
2004	January	21216	16857	13403	4334	6249	1193	498	1047	64797
	February	24955	19727	15901	5059	7113	1297	686	1139	75877
	March	28118	22137	18611	5561	8086	1343	912	1278	86046
	April	23033	19083	14831	4670	6529	1229	812	1118	71305
	May	25649	20106	16373	5215	7296	1513	918	1209	78279
	June	31438	23929	22026	6436	8969	1982	958	1474	97212
	July	25031	19410	17141	4949	7228	1449	646	1181	77035
	August	24795	20850	17269	5414	7513	1585	677	1141	79244
	September	25241	20821	17188	5289	8177	1855	739	1142	80452
	October	25621	22747	16079	5413	7875	1981	709	1242	81667
	November	26619	23052	17117	5450	8157	1944	694	1302	84335
Seasonally Adjusted
2003	September	26826	21272	15663	5415	7280	1607	687	1273	80023
	October	24580	20103	15632	5266	7167	1900	622	1237	76507
	November	24794	20369	15697	5293	7088	1628	657	1224	76750
	December	24345	20049	14615	5123	6943	1256	632	1247	74210
2004	January	26081	20815	16249	5386	7250	1536	651	1223	79191
	February	26540	20719	16451	5196	7199	1533	753	1212	79603
	March	25780	20560	16758	5168	7388	1426	788	1207	79075
	April	25197	20398	16180	5128	7059	1482	762	1197	77403
	May	25359	20394	16765	5237	7581	1555	774	1212	78877
	June	25541	20375	17628	5272	7216	1867	732	1215	79846
	July	25198	19595	17171	5033	7600	1557	668	1204	78026
	August	25016	20678	17124	5352	7656	1562	734	1143	79265
	September	25646	20879	17327	5376	8403	1847	815	1204	81497
	October	26074	22889	17398	5569	7970	1953	763	1252	83868
	November	25530	21714	16835	5314	8138	1757	724	1222	81234
Trend
2003	September	26058	20786	15487	5305	7208	1607	634	1278	78363
	October	25817	20691	15515	5308	7169	1600	636	1267	78003
	November	25629	20606	15575	5292	7133	1568	645	1253	77701
	December	25537	20554	15686	5260	7127	1518	665	1237	77584
2004	January	25550	20544	15873	5233	7148	1476	694	1222	77740
	February	25628	20536	16139	5212	7187	1467	725	1214	78108
	March	25683	20496	16443	5195	7225	1489	746	1211	78488
	April	25625	20382	16721	5179	7275	1529	755	1205	78671
	May	25473	20253	16947	5177	7351	1579	752	1201	78733
	June	25331	20240	17099	5201	7467	1626	744	1197	78905
	July	25319	20421	17196	5247	7623	1674	739	1196	79415
	August	25414	20765	17256	5302	7795	1724	741	1199	80196
	September	25519	21181	17260	5355	7956	1768	747	1204	80990
	October	25623	21600	17234	5400	8095	1807	751	1212	81722
	November	25701	21974	17154	5431	8183	1835	755	1220	82253
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraphs 6 to 8 of the Explanatory Notes.